Top Mark Capital · Letter Library

The Library

How we think — letters and essays, one quarter at a time.

2026

Top Mark Capital 2026 Q1 partner letter

Q1 2026

A detour, not damage

M. Nicoletti & J. Wallace

2025

Top Mark Capital 2025 Q4 partner letter

Q4 2025

Motorcycles & sailboats

Interactive

Top Mark Capital 2025 Q3 partner letter

Q3 2025

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2025 Q2 partner letter

Q2 2025

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

When Innovation Hides the Bubble — essay by J. Wallace

When Innovation Hides the Bubble

J. Wallace · Essay (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2025 Q1 partner letter

Q1 2025

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Tools of Labor and Thought: The Imminent Intelligence Revolution — essay by J. Wallace

Tools of Labor & Thought

J. Wallace · Essay (PDF) ↗

2024

Top Mark Capital 2024 Q4 partner letter

Q4 2024

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Founder Mode: Leadership as Value — memo by M. Nicoletti

Leadership as Value

M. Nicoletti · Memo (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2024 Q3 partner letter

Q3 2024

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Nvidia's 5 Risks — memo by M. Nicoletti

Nvidia's 5 Risks

M. Nicoletti · Memo (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2024 Q2 partner letter

Q2 2024

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

A Brief History of Yield Curve Inversions — essay by J. Wallace

A Brief History of Yield Curve Inversions

J. Wallace · Essay (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2024 Q1 partner letter

Q1 2024

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

2023

Top Mark Capital 2023 Q4 partner letter

Q4 2023

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2023 Q3 partner letter

Q3 2023

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Nvidia's Cornerstone for Unmatched Dominance in AI — essay by J. Wallace

Nvidia's Cornerstone for AI Dominance

J. Wallace · Essay (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2023 Q2 partner letter

Q2 2023

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Forget Blockchain: Generative AI is the Real Web3 — essay by J. Wallace

AI is the Real Web3

J. Wallace · Essay (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2023 Q1 partner letter

Q1 2023

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

2022

Top Mark Capital 2022 Q4 partner letter

Q4 2022

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2022 Q3 partner letter

Q3 2022

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2022 Q2 partner letter

Q2 2022

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2022 Q1 partner letter

Q1 2022

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

2021

Top Mark Capital 2021 Q4 partner letter

Q4 2021

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital 2021 Q3 partner letter

Q3 2021

Read the letter (PDF) ↗

Top Mark Capital · San Diego

Top Mark Capital Partners (TMCP) and Top Mark Health Partners (TMHP) are private offerings available only to accredited investors; the firm takes reasonable steps to verify accredited status before accepting any investment. This page is for informational purposes only, is not personalized investment advice, and is not an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where it would be unlawful. Any performance referenced is historical and described more fully, with required disclosures, in each letter. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Performance is presented in accordance with the SEC Marketing Rule (Rule 206(4)-1). See topmarkcapital.com/terms.

Top Mark Capital Management, 416 13th St, Suite 200, San Diego, CA 92101 · (646) 470-3016